Half of Americans would vote Obama today

Almost half of American voters (47%) would vote for President Barack Obama if the presidential election were held today, a new survey by Harris Interactive has revealed.

President Barack Obama

Mitt Romney, a Republican contender would get 39% of the votes. At least 14% are not at all sure of how they would vote.

As Republican primaries continue find the final candidate who will face President Obama in November, just half of Americans (52%) say they are satisfied with the choices available to them for President while more than two in five (43%) are not satisfied.

Just over half of Republicans (52%) are satisfied and 45% are not satisfied while Independents are reversed as 52% are not satisfied with the candidates and 41% are. Two-thirds of Democrats (66%), however, say they are satisfied with the choices available to them for President.

Last month, 46% said they would vote for President Obama while 37% said they would vote for Mitt Romney. Among Independents, it’s a closer race with 43% voting for the President and 41% voting for the former governor and 48% of adults in the 2012 Swing States (Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia) voting for President Obama and 41% voting for Mitt Romney.

He may be jockeying for front-runner status but the former Senator from Pennsylvania is ten points behind the President. Almost half of Americans would vote for President Obama (48%) while 38% would vote for Rick Santorum and 15% are not at all sure. Among Independents, 45% would vote for President Obama and 36% for Santorum with 19% not at all sure. In the 2012 Swing states, 51% would vote for the President while 35% would vote for Santorum.

Looking at the other two main contenders in the Republican primary, over one-third (36%) would vote for Ron Paul and 45% would vote for President Obama while 19% are not at all sure. Among Independents, Paul is ahead 40% to the President’s 39%. Finally, half of Americans (50%) would vote for President Obama and three in ten (31%) for Newt Gingrich with 18% not at all sure. Among Independents, President Obama leads Newt Gingrich 50% to 30% with 20% not at all sure and among people in the 2012 Swing states President Obama leads Newt Gingrich 52% to 31% with 17% not at all sure.

Half of Americans (50%) say the current Republican primary has hurt Republican chances of winning the presidential election while 19% say it has helped. And, it is not just the presidential election as two in five U.S. adults (40%) believe the primary has hurt Republican chances of winning Congressional elections and 19% believe it has helped. There is also the national political dialogue and almost half (46%) say the Republican primary has hurt that while 16% say it has helped it.

Republicans are less pessimistic than Democrats or Independents on their chances in the fall. While 70% of Democrats and 51% of Independents say the primary has hurt Republican chances of winning the presidential election, only one-third of Republicans (32%) feel that way. Looking at the congressional elections, two-thirds of Democrats (66%) and almost half of Independents (46%) say the primary has hurt the Republican chances of winning these elections come November compared to one-quarter of Republicans (27%) who think so.

As the Republican race continues, there will eventually be a winner. But, for now, the winner of the Republican primary appears to be the Democrat – President Obama. In the fall, it was a tight race between the President and Mitt Romney. Now, the President has an 8 point lead. The longer the primary continues the more damage it appears to be doing to the eventual Republican nominee. But, looking back 4 years, the Democratic primary was still being contested into April and the victor there was the victor in November as well.